After 3 March 2025 ▪
5
min at reading ▪
Bitcoin shows 20 % reflection in a few days. But behind this volatility to hide the mold risks. Among the political euphoria, technical anomalies and contradictory signals, the king of Kryptos sails on mined soil. Here are five key elements for decrypting this critical phase.
Large CME and Trump Effect gap: Explosive cocktail
The CME contracting market has a record gap of $ 85,000, a rare technical anomaly. This gap, comparable to the aerial calling of prices, acts as a magnet for lessons.
For Peter Brandt, a legendary analyst, this historical “hole” could cause brutal correction if prices return to fill this emptiness. A perspective reminiscent of June liquidation waterfalls when Bitcoin lost 30 % in two weeks.
The current reflection coincides with the statements of Donald Trump, who spoke of the “Strategic Cryptocurrency Reserve” before the first peak of the White House in the sector.
If this political support receives the buyer, some consider it a trap. ” Notifications remain vague and whales could use emotions to liquidate their positions »Underlines an anonymous merchant.
This week it crystallizes risks: Discourse Jerome Powell, President of the Fed, and data about American jobs will be tested by DBU Itcoin resistance.
Increase in rates or robust economic indicators could strengthen the dollar and suffocate risky assets. The timing is essential: the summit on crypts could either legitimize reflection or detect its artificial.
Crypto’s contradictory signals: among euphoria and caution
The chain data shows a significant improvement: the profitability of bitcoin addresses has jumped up and the outgoing stock flows indicate the recovery of accumulation.
However, feelings, analytical platform, optimism: ‘ Institutional investors remain behind. This movement looks like a technical beginning more than the conversion of the trend. »»
Traders scan a range of $ 90,000-91,000, a former floor of recent months. ” If a bitcoin fence below, a fall could be fast to $ 85,000 “Daan Crypto warns.
Mark Cullen adds: “ Liquidity around $ 95,000 attracts prices, but a return to $ 85,000 to fill the CME gap by a wound. These levels illustrate the uncertain balance between buyers and sellers.
The jump created a day candle on certain markets, which triggered massive destruction of short positions. However, this escape masks reality: the volumes remain under those in May and the open interest stagnates. ” Without the influx of fresh capital, this assembly lacks fuel “Analysis of the Krypto fund manager.
While the eyes turn to the Fed and the White House, Bitcoin embodies more than ever the battle between political stories and market mechanics. Any notification, every economic data, can tilt balance.
Bitcoin dances on the volcano. Between CME, Trump effect and macro indicators, the risk of correction is tangible. Sealer’s seasoners know this: 20 % reflection is not enough to shoot a lower market. The key remains an area of $ 90,000. If this would bring, a fall around $ 85,000 – or even lower – would become inevitable. In this period FUD and FOMO are necessary strategy of caution. Will the king survive this suffering? The answer in the coming days. Stay in conjunction: Volatility did not say their last word despite a critical point.
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Evariste, fascinated by Bitcoin since 2017, has not stopped documenting on this topic. If his first interest focused on trading, he now tries to actively understand all cryptocurrency progress. As an editor, he tries to permanently provide high quality work that reflects the condition of the sector as a whole.
Renunciation
The words and opinions expressed in this article are involved only by their author and should not be considered investment counseling. Do your own research before any investment decision.